Loading...
Market
Arson attack on shopping center in Baltic countries by FSB by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Baltic authorities or international news agencies
Story
Kyiv Police Detain FSB Agents for Arson Attacks in Ukraine and EU
Jul 25, 2024, 08:13 AM
On July 24, police in Kyiv detained two perpetrators involved in ordered sabotage attacks, including arson of a military officer's car and a relay box on the railroad. The National Police of Ukraine detained a group that, on the instructions of the Russian FSB, carried out arson attacks in EU countries, targeting humanitarian aid centers for Ukrainians and shopping centers in Poland. Ukrainian police also detained an FSB agent who, along with accomplices, burned down logistics centers in Poland and the Baltic countries. The SBU reported on July 25 that the perpetrators planned arson attacks at shopping centers, gas stations, pharmacies, and markets in Ukraine, Poland, and the Baltic countries.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Espionage • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Assassination • 25%
Other • 25%
Several Convictions • 25%
Few Convictions • 25%
No Convictions • 25%
Investigation Ongoing • 25%
Georgia • 25%
Florida • 25%
Texas • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukrainian forces • 25%
Local sabotage • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukrainian forces • 25%
Russian Freedom Legion • 25%
Russian Volunteer Corps • 25%
Other • 25%