Loading...
Market
Argentina withdraws ICC complaint against Venezuela by end of 2025?
4
Argentina•International Criminal Court•ICC•Venezuela•Argentine•Nahuel Gallo•Argentine Foreign Ministry•Venezuelan•Nicolás Maduro•Gallo•Tarek William Saab•Javier Milei
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Argentine Foreign Ministry or ICC announcements
Story
Argentina Accuses Maduro Regime at ICC Over Forced Disappearance of Gendarme Accused of Terrorism
Jan 2, 2025, 06:14 PM
On Thursday, Argentina filed a formal complaint with the International Criminal Court (ICC) against Venezuela over the detention and alleged forced disappearance of Argentine gendarme Nahuel Gallo. The complaint, announced by the Argentine Foreign Ministry, accuses the Venezuelan regime of Nicolás Maduro of arbitrarily detaining Gallo on December 8 as he entered the country to visit his family. Gallo was detained and accused of terrorism by the Venezuelan prosecutor's office. The complaint also names Venezuelan Attorney General Tarek William Saab for his involvement in the case. The government of President Javier Milei considers Gallo's detention a violation of human rights and seeks international intervention.
View original story
Similar markets
Preliminary examination • 25%
Complaint dismissed • 25%
Other action • 25%
Formal investigation initiated • 25%
Support for Argentina • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for Venezuela • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Conviction • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Gallo released • 25%
Case escalated to international bodies • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Interpol • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Ortega and Murillo extradited • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Arrest warrant withdrawn • 25%
Ortega and Murillo not extradited • 25%
Release without charges • 25%
Other • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%