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Are there major leadership changes in the Iranian military or government by the end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government announcements
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Iran Mobilizes Full Military Resources for Search After President Raisi's Helicopter Crash, Orders Major General Bagheri
May 19, 2024, 03:49 PM
Iranian Army Chief of Staff Major General Mohammad Bagheri has ordered the full utilization of all available resources for the search and rescue operations following the crash of President Ebrahim Raisi's helicopter. The directive includes the deployment of the army, the Revolutionary Guards, and the police. The announcement was made via state TV and has been confirmed by multiple sources, including the Iranian Fars news agency. The search efforts are ongoing as authorities strive to locate the president and his companions.
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No Change • 33%
New President • 33%
New Vice President • 33%
No Change • 25%
New Chief of Staff • 25%
New Deputy Chief of Staff • 25%
Other Significant Change • 25%
IDF Chief replaced • 33%
IDF Chief remains • 33%
IDF leadership reshuffled • 33%
New President appointed by end of 2024 • 50%
No new President appointed by end of 2024 • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change • 33%
Partial change • 33%
Complete change • 33%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No significant change • 25%