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Antarctic ice sheet loss by end of 2024 (in gigatons)
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 2000 Gt • 33%
2000-3000 Gt • 33%
More than 3000 Gt • 33%
Reports from NASA's GRACE-FO mission and other satellite data
Story
New Tipping Point Identified for Antarctic Ice Sheets as Warming Ocean Water Accelerates Melting
Jun 25, 2024, 12:10 PM
New research has identified a newly identified tipping point for ice sheets in Antarctica, indicating that warming ocean water is intruding further beneath the ice than previously known. This could accelerate melting and lead to faster sea level rise. The study suggests that the sensitivity of ice-sheet melting is stronger than previously understood, which could mean future sea level rise is significantly higher than current projections. The findings highlight the potential for a greater contribution to sea level rise in a warming climate.
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Below 17.09°C • 25%
17.09°C to 17.19°C • 25%
17.20°C to 17.29°C • 25%
Above 17.29°C • 25%
1.5 - 1.6 degrees Celsius • 25%
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